1
Donmagoo
4yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 64
Greyville · Hollywoodbets Bright Future Open Maiden · 6f 211y
#6
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Greyville | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Greyville | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Greyville | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Greyville | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Greyville | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Greyville | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength55%
Delivery trend -0.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/02/2026 | 8th | 100/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 27/03/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 89% | +0.63 |
| 17/04/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 40% | -0.34 |
| 13/05/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 27/05/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 57% | +0.05 |
| 13/06/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 71% | +0.45 |
| 12/07/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 40% | -0.39 |
| 14/08/2026 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 50% | -0.05 |
| 28/08/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |