4
Etzebeth
4yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 63
Greyville · Hollywoodbets Bright Future Open Maiden · 6f 211y
#5
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 | Scottsville | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Scottsville | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Greyville | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Greyville | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-27 | Greyville | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-08 | Scottsville | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength41%
Delivery trend -7.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/01/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 08/02/2026 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 71% | -0.21 |
| 27/02/2026 | 5th | 4/5 | 96% | 33% | -0.62 |
| 29/03/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 43% | -0.41 |
| 11/04/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 26/04/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 91% | +0.15 |
| 23/05/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 38% | -0.31 |