6
Jenny Darling
4yo Filly · 8-5 · OR 44
Greyville · Hollywoodbets Bright Future Open Maiden · 6f 211y
#8
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 6.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Greyville | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-23 | Scottsville | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Scottsville | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Greyville | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Greyville | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Greyville | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend -1.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/01/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 15/02/2026 | 11th | 80/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/03/2026 | 4th | 66/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 08/04/2026 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 27/05/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 29% | +0.13 |
| 15/07/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 02/08/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 23/08/2026 | 4th | 80/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 11/09/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 63% | +0.05 |