3
Lovecomesknocking
4yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 61
Greyville · Hollywoodbets Bright Future Open Maiden · 6f 211y
#2
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
7%
Place Prob
19%
Rank
#2
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Scottsville | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Scottsville | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-05 | Scottsville | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Scottsville | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-08 | Scottsville | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-12-28 | Greyville | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength79%
Delivery trend -0.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/12/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 08/02/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 15/03/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |
| 05/04/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 02/08/2026 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 42% | -0.16 |
| 23/08/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 50% | -0.05 |