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9

Mastercrafter

3yo Gelding · 8-5 · OR 51

Greyville · Hollywoodbets Bright Future Open Maiden · 6f 211y

#3

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

7%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

20/1, last of 9 in maiden at Scottsville (8f, good) 25 days ago. Makes all weather debut. Needs a couple of these to falter.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 7.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Scottsville 11/03/2026 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR - · 5f212y GS 13211/03C8C8 @ Scottsville 17/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 12617/05C8C8 @ Scottsville 08/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 1328/07C8C8 @ Scottsville 30/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 12230/08C8projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-30Scottsville?9th9th0
2026-07-08Scottsville?5th5th0
2026-05-17Scottsville?6th6th0
2026-03-11Scottsville?11th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/0317/058/0730/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength36%

Delivery trend +11.6% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/03/202611th9/276%17%-0.60
17/05/20266th16/116%44%+0.29
08/07/20265th12/137%50%+0.13
30/08/20269th16/116%0%-0.16