5
Royale Jacket
4yo Gelding · 9-5 · OR 68
Greyville · Hollywoodbets Bright Future Open Maiden · 6f 211y
#1
Rank
Odds
11/8
Win Prob
91%
Place Prob
66%
Rank
#1
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Vaal | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Turffontein | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Vaal | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Turffontein | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Turffontein | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Greyville | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +7.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/03/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 89% | +0.18 |
| 21/04/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 20% | -0.62 |
| 04/05/2026 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 57% | -0.33 |
| 20/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 86% | +0.33 |
| 04/06/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 57% | -0.30 |
| 27/06/2026 | 13th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 23/07/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 88% | +0.22 |
| 08/08/2026 | 2nd | 40/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 27/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 86% | +0.00 |