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2

Dreaming Bonita

3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 65

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 1m

#1

Rank

Odds

2/1

Win Prob

60%

Place Prob

53%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength86%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.5 /10 (raw 3.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: +2.1
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 28/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 49 · 5f110y 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/08/2025 · OR 49 par28/08C6OR 49C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 18/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 54 · 5f110y 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/09/2025 · OR 54 parC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 30/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 57 · 5f110y 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/10/2025 · OR 57 par30/10C6OR 57C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 05/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 74 · 6f Slo 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark05/05/2026 · OR 74 parC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 26/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 58 · 1m 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/05/2026 · OR 58 par26/05C6OR 58C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 11/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 57 · 1m110y Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/06/2026 · OR 57 parC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 11/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 59 · 1m110y Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/07/2026 · OR 59 par11/07C6OR 59C9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 18/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 64 · 1m70y 120 · beat its mark18/08/2026 · OR 64 parC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 11/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 65 · 6f 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/09/2026 · OR 65 par11/09C6OR 65projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd0th+3
2026-08-18Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd2nd0
2026-07-11Horseshoe Indianapolis?6th3rd+3
2026-06-11Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th2nd+3
2026-05-26Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd0th+3
2026-05-05Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th2nd+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/085/0511/0711/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength93%

Delivery trend +0.3% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 1st of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/08/20252nd7/163%89%+0.26
18/09/20252nd9/488%86%-0.02
30/10/20254th5/287%63%-0.24
05/05/20265th10/147%43%-0.05
26/05/20263rd7/163%71%+0.08
11/06/20265th9/153%50%-0.03
11/07/20266th12/137%44%+0.08
18/08/20262nd9/488%86%-0.02
11/09/20263rd9/153%67%+0.14