1

Flutterby Zoey

5yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 49

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 1m

#8

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength68%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 10/06/2024 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 1m70y 121 · HIGHER CLASS10/06C6C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 14/08/2024 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 31 · 1m Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/08/2024 · OR 31 parC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 10/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 30 · 6f 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/11/2025 · OR 30 par10/11C6OR 30C9 @ Turfway Park 16/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR 37 · 1m 122 · beat its mark16/01/2026 · OR 37 parC9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 01/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 31 · 5f110y 124 · beat its mark01/05/2026 · OR 31 par1/05C9OR 31C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 04/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 40 · 5f110y 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/06/2026 · OR 40 parC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 17/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 48 · 1m70y 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/06/2026 · OR 48 par17/06C6OR 48C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 07/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 51 · 1m Fm 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/07/2026 · OR 51 parC9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 18/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 50 · 1m70y 124 · below its mark18/08/2026 · OR 50 par18/08C9OR 50projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-18Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th5th0
2026-07-07Horseshoe Indianapolis?9th6th+3
2026-06-17Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th2nd+3
2026-06-04Horseshoe Indianapolis?8th5th+3
2026-05-01Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd2nd0
2026-01-16Turfway Park?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/0616/0117/0618/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 4-8 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength28%

Delivery trend -8.0% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/06/20243rd33/10%71%+0.71
14/08/20245th20/10%33%+0.33
10/11/20255th25/10%0%0.00
16/01/20268th25/10%36%+0.36
01/05/20262nd12/137%83%+0.46
04/06/20268th14/126%30%+0.04
17/06/20265th12/137%33%-0.04
07/07/20269th33/10%27%+0.27
18/08/20265th9/276%43%-0.33