Martine

4yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 51

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 1m

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark

Move▼2

Strength71%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C6.8

Today:

Class gap: +1.7

Higher-class runs: 2

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-08	Horseshoe Indianapolis	?	5th	5th	0	5.0
2026-07-06	Horseshoe Indianapolis	?	6th	3rd	+3	7.0
2025-06-24	Horseshoe Indianapolis	?	7th	4th	+3	6.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 6-8 · 68%

▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price

Trend▼

Strength0%

Delivery trend -34.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
24/06/2025	7th	25/1	0%	25%	+0.25
06/07/2026	6th	25/1	0%	50%	+0.50
08/09/2026	5th	9/2	76%	33%	-0.43