Pious
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 59
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 5.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-09-01 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 9th | 6th | +3 |
| 2026-08-13 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-07-29 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -15.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 13/08/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 01/09/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 11/09/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |