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6

So Now What

3yo Filly · 8-5 · OR 46

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 1m

#6

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength15%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 28/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 6f Fas 12028/07C9C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 01/09/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 55 · 1m Fm 117 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/09/2026 · OR 55 par1/09C6OR 55projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-01Horseshoe Indianapolis?12th9th+3
2026-07-28Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/071/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 7-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength21%

Delivery trend -37.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/07/20262nd9/153%90%+0.37
01/09/202612th25/10%0%0.00