5

Daisy Mae Attack

4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 54

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 2 - Claiming · 5f 110y

#6

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength51%

What the class read says

Favourable class profile — form adjusted for the quality of opposition looks competitive here. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Hawthorne 17/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 56 · 5f110y Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/07/2025 · OR 56 par17/07C6OR 56C6 @ Hawthorne 10/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 27 · 5f110y Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/08/2025 · OR 27 parC6 @ Hawthorne 14/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 38 · 7f110y Gd 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/09/2025 · OR 38 par14/09C6OR 38C6 @ Hawthorne 09/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 47 · 5f Gd 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/10/2025 · OR 47 parC9 @ Hawthorne 10/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 48 · 5f110y Fas 125 · beat its mark10/05/2026 · OR 48 par10/05C9OR 48C8 @ Hawthorne 21/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 51 · 1m Fm 123 · below its mark21/05/2026 · OR 51 parC8 @ Hawthorne 04/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 55 · 5f110y Fm 123 · beat its mark04/06/2026 · OR 55 par4/06C8OR 55C8 @ Hawthorne 19/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 57 · 7f110y 123 · below its mark19/07/2026 · OR 57 parC8 @ Fairmount Park 29/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 59 · 5f110y 124 · below its mark29/08/2026 · OR 59 par29/08C8OR 59projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Fairmount Park?5th5th0
2026-07-19Hawthorne?3rd3rd0
2026-06-04Hawthorne?3rd3rd0
2026-05-21Hawthorne?5th5th0
2026-05-10Hawthorne?1st2nd1
2025-10-09Hawthorne?4th2nd+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/079/104/0629/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 3-6 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength16%

Delivery trend -4.5% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/07/20255th16/116%43%+0.27
10/08/20254th5/174%57%-0.17
14/09/20255th8/158%20%-0.38
09/10/20254th16/116%50%+0.34
10/05/20261st12/137%100%+0.63
21/05/20265th25/10%20%+0.20
04/06/20263rd4/179%67%-0.12
19/07/20263rd4/179%60%-0.19
29/08/20265th10/147%0%-0.47