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Ihaveissues
4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 68
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 2 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-01 | Turfway Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-07 | Turfway Park | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-09-06 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-08-08 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-07-13 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-05-29 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +2.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/2025 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 07/03/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 88% | +0.09 |
| 18/04/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 29/05/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 13/07/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |
| 08/08/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 83% | +0.15 |
| 06/09/2025 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 07/01/2026 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 18% | -0.08 |
| 01/03/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |