Sho Domina
3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 51
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 2 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Fairmount Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Hawthorne | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Hawthorne | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Fairmount Park | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-05-12 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -13.5% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10/2025 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 12/05/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 02/06/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 38% | +0.11 |
| 21/06/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 43% | +0.27 |
| 19/07/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 29/08/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 12/09/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 29% | -0.40 |