Galoshes
5yo Mare · 8-7 · OR 37
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 5.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-07-26 | Colonial Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-06-26 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2025-04-29 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10/2024 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 14/11/2024 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 38% | -0.31 |
| 26/01/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 29/04/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/06/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 26/07/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 04/04/2026 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 24/04/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 09/09/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 17% | +0.01 |