Prayer's Beauty
4yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 59
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
88%
Place Prob
66%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 3.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-10 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-28 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2025-09-10 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | -2th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -6.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/06/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 91% | +0.04 |
| 24/06/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 30/07/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 83% | +0.10 |
| 10/09/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 28/10/2025 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 20% | -0.62 |
| 10/11/2025 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 20% | -0.56 |
| 15/06/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |
| 15/07/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 20/08/2026 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |