6

Reimagine

4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 68

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f

#4

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength32%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 08/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 72 · 1m Fm 120 · beat its mark08/09/2025 · OR 72 par8/09C9OR 72C8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 07/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 74 · 1m Slo 122 · beat its mark07/10/2025 · OR 74 parC8 @ Fair Grounds 01/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 77 · 1m110y Fm 121 · below its mark01/03/2026 · OR 77 par1/03C8OR 77C8 @ Fair Grounds 20/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 71 · 1m 121 · beat its mark20/03/2026 · OR 71 parC7 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 14/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 67 · 1m110y Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/05/2026 · OR 67 par14/05C7OR 67C7 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 28/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 71 · 1m Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/05/2026 · OR 71 parC7 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 15/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 73 · 1m Gd 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark15/06/2026 · OR 73 par15/06C7OR 73C8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 28/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 75 · 1m70y Gd 122 · below its mark28/07/2026 · OR 75 parC7 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 16/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 72 · 1m110y Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark16/09/2026 · OR 72 par16/09C7OR 72projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-16Horseshoe Indianapolis?8th7th+1
2026-07-28Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th5th0
2026-06-15Horseshoe Indianapolis?9th8th+1
2026-05-28Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd1st+1
2026-05-14Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th4th+1
2026-03-20Fair Grounds?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0920/0315/0616/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 4-6 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength32%

Delivery trend -5.9% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/09/20251st13/266%100%+0.34
07/10/20251st8/158%100%+0.42
01/03/20267th25/10%14%+0.14
20/03/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
14/05/20265th25/10%43%+0.43
28/05/20262nd11/486%80%-0.06
15/06/20269th25/10%0%0.00
28/07/20265th10/147%33%-0.14
16/09/20268th40/10%0%0.00