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6

Rebelka

2yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 62

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 5f

#2

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

33%

Place Prob

36%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼2
Strength68%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.5 /10 (raw 3.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Laurel Park 01/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR - · 4f110y Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS1/05C6C6 @ Laurel Park 22/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 70 · 4f110y Slo 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark22/05/2026 · OR 70 par22/05C6OR 70C9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 16/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 63 · 5f 119 · beat its mark16/07/2026 · OR 63 par16/07C9OR 63C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 05/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 65 · 5f Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/08/2026 · OR 65 par5/08C6OR 65C9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 13/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 67 · 5f 120 · below its mark13/08/2026 · OR 67 par13/08C9OR 67C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 31/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 60 · 5f Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark31/08/2026 · OR 60 par31/08C6OR 60projClass-projected finish: 1st of 4
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd0th+3
2026-08-13Horseshoe Indianapolis?6th6th0
2026-08-05Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd-1th+3
2026-07-16Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd2nd0
2026-05-22Laurel Park?4th1st+3
2026-05-01Laurel Park?2nd-1th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0522/0516/075/0813/0831/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength69%

Delivery trend -2.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/05/20262nd8/158%75%+0.17
22/05/20264th5/174%25%-0.49
16/07/20262nd12/137%86%+0.49
05/08/20262nd12/137%90%+0.53
13/08/20266th9/488%29%-0.60
31/08/20263rd11/271%75%+0.04