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8

Yalina

2yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 62

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 5f

#1

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

66%

Place Prob

51%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼2
Strength63%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.7 /10 (raw 3.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Churchill Downs 10/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 4f110y 11910/05C9C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 15/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 68 · 5f Gd 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/06/2026 · OR 68 par15/06C6OR 68C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 08/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 66 · 5f Fm 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/07/2026 · OR 66 par8/07C6OR 66C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 05/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 67 · 5f Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/08/2026 · OR 67 par5/08C6OR 67C9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 13/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 67 · 5f 120 · below its mark13/08/2026 · OR 67 par13/08C9OR 67C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 31/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 63 · 5f Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark31/08/2026 · OR 63 par31/08C6OR 63C9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 11/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 57 · 5f 120 · beat its mark11/09/2026 · OR 57 par11/09C9OR 57projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 4
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd2nd0
2026-08-31Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th2nd+3
2026-08-13Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th4th0
2026-08-05Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th2nd+3
2026-07-08Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd0th+3
2026-06-15Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd-1th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/055/0811/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 5-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength18%

Delivery trend -10.4% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/05/20264th20/10%57%+0.57
15/06/20262nd5/174%80%+0.06
08/07/20263rd11/271%78%+0.07
05/08/20265th6/168%60%-0.08
13/08/20264th5/174%57%-0.17
31/08/20265th5/174%50%-0.24
11/09/20262nd6/492%80%-0.12