Clocker Special
3yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 82
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f
#6
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Ellis Park | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-05-25 | Churchill Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Keeneland | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-03-14 | Colonial Downs | BHA85 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-02-08 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -11.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06/2025 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 71% | +0.06 |
| 19/07/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 08/02/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 14/03/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 04/04/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 25% | -0.38 |
| 25/05/2026 | 8th | 13/2 | 66% | 22% | -0.44 |
| 11/07/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 20/08/2026 | 7th | 3/1 | 84% | 25% | -0.59 |