Dyno War
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 46
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f
#9
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 5.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-18 | Hawthorne | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-05-24 | Hawthorne | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-05-10 | Hawthorne | ? | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-04-23 | Hawthorne | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2025-11-02 | Hawthorne | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2025-10-05 | Hawthorne | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.9% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/05/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 08/06/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 21/09/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 05/10/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 02/11/2025 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 23/04/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 25% | -0.01 |
| 10/05/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 24/05/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 18/06/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |