High Honors

3yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 86

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark

Move▼2

Strength53%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C6.0

Today:

Class gap: +1.5

Higher-class runs: 6

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-06-05	Churchill Downs	?	10th	8th	+2	1.8
2026-04-11	Keeneland	?	8th	6th	+2	3.8
2026-02-20	Turfway Park	?	7th	5th	+2	4.8
2025-11-30	Churchill Downs	?	3rd	1st	+2	8.8
2025-10-26	Churchill Downs	?	3rd	1st	+2	8.8
2025-10-05	Keeneland	?	5th	3rd	+2	6.8

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%

▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price

Trend▼

Strength32%

Delivery trend -14.2% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
01/08/2025	5th	25/1	0%	60%	+0.60
07/09/2025	3rd	12/1	37%	80%	+0.43
05/10/2025	5th	20/1	0%	64%	+0.64
26/10/2025	3rd	15/2	61%	78%	+0.17
30/11/2025	3rd	7/1	63%	82%	+0.19
20/02/2026	7th	5/1	74%	40%	-0.34
11/04/2026	8th	20/1	0%	13%	+0.13
05/06/2026	10th	10/1	47%	0%	-0.47