Splendor Glow
3yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 76
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f
#2
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-05-23 | Fairmount Park | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-04-25 | Fairmount Park | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-03-25 | Turfway Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-03-01 | Turfway Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.4% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 78% | +0.12 |
| 25/03/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 83% | -0.04 |
| 25/04/2026 | 1st | 4/5 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 23/05/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 25/07/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 11/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 80% | -0.14 |