The Exodus Twist
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 72
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f
#3
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 4.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Charles Town | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
| 2026-06-06 | Charles Town | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-05-07 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.1% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/02/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 56% | -0.18 |
| 28/02/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 43% | -0.20 |
| 14/04/2026 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 75% | -0.18 |
| 07/05/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 06/06/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 21/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 83% | +0.10 |
| 04/07/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |
| 30/07/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 14% | -0.23 |
| 02/09/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 86% | +0.20 |