9
Junkyard Justice
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 63
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 7 - Allowance · 1m 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength19%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-26 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-28 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-07 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +4.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07/2025 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 14% | -0.38 |
| 31/07/2025 | 1st | 25/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 07/10/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 38% | +0.01 |
| 28/10/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 09/07/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 11/08/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 26/08/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/09/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |