1
Looking Good Lewis
6yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 67
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 7 - Allowance · 1m 110y
#10
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength18%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: -1.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Turfway Park | ? | 6th | 9th | −3 |
| 2026-03-11 | Turfway Park | ? | 5th | 8th | −3 |
| 2025-12-28 | Turfway Park | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2025-10-06 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 7-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend -1.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 17% | -0.31 |
| 28/07/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 16/09/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |
| 06/10/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 28/12/2025 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 11/03/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 43% | -0.40 |
| 27/03/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 28/07/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 08/09/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |