7
My Lunar Charm
3yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 75
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 7 - Allowance · 1m 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength22%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-07-15 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-24 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-06-06 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-25 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength96%
Delivery trend +1.3% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 6th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10/2025 | 3rd | 1/1 | 95% | 71% | -0.23 |
| 06/11/2025 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 13/11/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 90% | +0.53 |
| 25/05/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 44% | -0.13 |
| 06/06/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 90% | +0.22 |
| 24/06/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 73% | -0.11 |
| 15/07/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 88% | +0.09 |
| 22/08/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 11/09/2026 | 11th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |