10
Turbo Duck
3yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 77
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 7 - Allowance · 1m 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-24 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-05-25 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-05-01 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength60%
Delivery trend -6.9% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 25/10/2025 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 13/11/2025 | 3rd | 50/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 01/05/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 25/05/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 24/06/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 55% | +0.07 |
| 09/07/2026 | 1st | 1/4 | 99% | 100% | +0.01 |
| 11/08/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 08/09/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 38% | -0.15 |