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8

U R Not The Father

6yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 76

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 7 - Allowance · 1m 110y

#2

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

76%

Place Prob

50%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength30%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 28/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 76 · 1m110y Fm 121 · beat its mark28/10/2025 · OR 76 par28/10C5OR 76C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 12/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 73 · 1m70y Gd 121 · beat its mark12/11/2025 · OR 73 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 08/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 78 · 5f110y Fas 122 · below its mark08/04/2026 · OR 78 par8/04C5OR 78C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 29/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 75 · 1m Fas 122 · beat its mark29/04/2026 · OR 75 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 12/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 75 · 1m70y Fas 122 · beat its mark12/05/2026 · OR 75 par12/05C5OR 75C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 02/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 76 · 1m110y Fm 124 · beat its mark02/06/2026 · OR 76 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 30/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 83 · 1m Fm 122 · below its mark30/06/2026 · OR 83 par30/06C5OR 83C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 28/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 78 · 1m110y Slo 122 · beat its mark28/07/2026 · OR 78 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 08/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 75 · 1m 122 · beat its mark08/09/2026 · OR 75 par8/09C5OR 75projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd2nd0
2026-07-28Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd3rd0
2026-06-30Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th5th0
2026-06-02Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd2nd0
2026-05-12Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st1st0
2026-04-29Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/1029/0430/068/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength51%

Delivery trend +0.7% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/10/20252nd5/493%86%-0.08
12/11/20252nd4/179%89%+0.10
08/04/20265th9/153%43%-0.10
29/04/20264th4/179%40%-0.39
12/05/20261st10/147%100%+0.53
02/06/20262nd12/137%83%+0.46
30/06/20265th10/382%33%-0.49
28/07/20263rd11/893%50%-0.43
08/09/20262nd10/147%88%+0.40