Cloey Attack
5yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 93
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Hawthorne | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Fairmount Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Fairmount Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-03 | Turfway Park | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-10-30 | Hawthorne | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.5% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 18/09/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 28/09/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |
| 30/10/2025 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 44% | -0.32 |
| 03/01/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 05/05/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 30/05/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 19/07/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 12/09/2026 | 4th | 1/1 | 95% | 40% | -0.55 |