Keyana
4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 91
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
31%
Place Prob
37%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-03-12 | Turfway Park | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-12-28 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2025-11-05 | Churchill Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-01-01 | Turfway Park | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09/2024 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 19/10/2024 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 28/11/2024 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 57% | -0.31 |
| 01/01/2025 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 05/11/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 28/12/2025 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 12/03/2026 | 10th | 15/2 | 61% | 10% | -0.51 |
| 04/08/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 01/09/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 83% | +0.10 |