3
Taqdeer
4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 88
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.9
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Monmouth Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Ellis Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Churchill Downs | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-05-22 | Churchill Downs | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-11 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +4.8% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/02/2026 | 4th | 11/10 | 94% | 63% | -0.32 |
| 27/03/2026 | 11th | 10/1 | 47% | 9% | -0.38 |
| 22/04/2026 | 1st | 4/7 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 11/05/2026 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 22/05/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 83% | +0.68 |
| 24/06/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 18/07/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 40% | -0.13 |
| 09/08/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 83% | -0.06 |
| 23/08/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |