6
Candy Spice
3yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 70
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 9 - Allowance · 1f 130y
#10
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength39%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-07-09 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-05 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-25 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2025-07-30 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength56%
Delivery trend +13.5% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07/2025 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 25/10/2025 | 10th | 6/4 | 92% | 0% | -0.92 |
| 05/05/2026 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 33% | -0.27 |
| 18/06/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 56% | +0.40 |
| 09/07/2026 | 9th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 06/08/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |