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2

Flyin Cowgirl

4yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 79

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 9 - Allowance · 1f 130y

#1

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

22%

Place Prob

18%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.9
Today:
Class gap: -0.9
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 23/04/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 68 · 1f80y Fas 126 · below its mark23/04/2025 · OR 68 par23/04C8OR 68C8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 13/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 66 · 1f130y Fas 126 · below its mark13/07/2025 · OR 66 parC8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 14/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 64 · 1f110y Fas 126 · below its mark14/08/2025 · OR 64 par14/08C8OR 64C8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 05/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 70 · 1f130y Fas 126 · beat its mark05/09/2025 · OR 70 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 04/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 73 · 1f130y 126 · beat its mark04/11/2025 · OR 73 par4/11C5OR 73C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 20/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 76 · 1f110y 128 · beat its mark20/05/2026 · OR 76 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 24/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 78 · 1f130y Fas 128 · beat its mark24/06/2026 · OR 78 par24/06C5OR 78C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 06/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 79 · 1f180y Fas 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/08/2026 · OR 79 par6/08C5OR 79projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-06Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd1st+1
2026-06-24Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd3rd0
2026-05-20Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd3rd0
2025-11-04Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st1st0
2025-09-05Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st5th−3
2025-08-14Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd7th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/045/0924/066/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +9.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/04/20257th3/184%33%-0.51
13/07/20255th15/261%56%-0.05
14/08/20253rd9/153%75%+0.22
05/09/20251st11/486%100%+0.14
04/11/20251st9/276%100%+0.24
20/05/20263rd15/261%60%-0.01
24/06/20263rd11/486%75%-0.11
06/08/20262nd16/116%89%+0.73