7
Mg Fresca
4yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 79
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 9 - Allowance · 1f 130y
#12
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-05 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-24 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-09-04 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-08-06 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength91%
Delivery trend +3.2% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 10th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09/2024 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 75% | +0.12 |
| 01/10/2024 | 2nd | 10/11 | 95% | 86% | -0.10 |
| 12/11/2024 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 78% | -0.12 |
| 06/08/2025 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 25% | -0.54 |
| 04/09/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 24/09/2025 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 13% | -0.56 |
| 05/11/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 78% | +0.41 |
| 24/06/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 38% | -0.15 |
| 09/07/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |