8
Perrys Secret Gold
4yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 76
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 9 - Allowance · 1f 130y
#7
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲2
Strength4%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: -2.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-15 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | BHA68 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-04-14 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 8th | −3 |
| 2025-11-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 9th | −3 |
| 2025-10-09 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 7th | −3 |
| 2025-09-02 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 11th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +8.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09/2025 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 25% | -0.33 |
| 09/10/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 71% | +0.24 |
| 11/11/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 56% | +0.03 |
| 14/04/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 11/05/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 15/06/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |