10
Relentless Reba
6yo Mare · 9-2 · OR 75
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 9 - Allowance · 1f 130y
#11
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.9
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-13 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-07 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-16 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2025-08-21 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-07-10 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 8-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength10%
Delivery trend -0.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09/2024 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 08/10/2024 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 89% | -0.05 |
| 06/11/2024 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 10/07/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 21/08/2025 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 38% | -0.26 |
| 16/09/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 83% | +0.31 |
| 07/10/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 13/11/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 24/06/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |