1
Agador
7yo Horse · 9-3
La Teste De Buch · Prix Stoa Stakes · 1m 1f 97y
#5
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.9
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.9
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-13 | Pau | ? | 3rd | 6th | −3 |
| 2025-10-22 | Pau | ? | 3rd | 6th | −3 |
| 2025-07-31 | Dax | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2025-06-22 | Toulouse | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
| 2025-03-22 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 12th | 11th | +1 |
| 2025-01-23 | Pau | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength87%
Delivery trend +7.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/04/2024 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 88% | -0.02 |
| 25/05/2024 | 7th | 9/4 | 88% | 14% | -0.74 |
| 03/08/2024 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 23/01/2025 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 22/03/2025 | 12th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 22/06/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 57% | +0.41 |
| 31/07/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 22/10/2025 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 71% | +0.14 |
| 13/11/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |