4
Reach The Sky
4yo Colt · 8-13
La Teste De Buch · Prix Stoa Stakes · 1m 1f 97y
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
64%
Place Prob
46%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength36%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.7
Today: 2
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-20 | Marseille | 1 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-03-08 | Chantilly | 1 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-02-15 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-01-24 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 1 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-12-19 | Chantilly | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2025-09-19 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength70%
Delivery trend -4.8% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/05/2025 | 7th | 100/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 08/06/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |
| 28/06/2025 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 13% | -0.03 |
| 19/09/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 85% | +0.58 |
| 19/12/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 24/01/2026 | 5th | 13/8 | 91% | 33% | -0.58 |
| 15/02/2026 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 08/03/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 14% | -0.12 |
| 20/06/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |