6

Hogan Bridge

3yo Gelding · 9-2

La Teste De Buch · Prix Haras Des Granges Maiden Stakes · 1m 1f 97y

#2

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

20%

Place Prob

28%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ La Teste De Buch 15/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 1m208y GS 12815/05C5C5 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 15/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 1m1f97y GS 12815/06C5C5 @ Mont De Marsan 17/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 12817/08C5projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-17Mont De Marsan?7th7th0
2026-06-15Bordeaux Le Bouscat?5th5th0
2026-05-15La Teste De Buch?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0515/0617/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 6-9 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength35%

Delivery trend -11.2% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/05/20263rd6/168%71%+0.03
15/06/20265th6/168%50%-0.18
17/08/20267th9/153%33%-0.19