Abloom
4yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 91
La Teste De Buch · Prix Du Haras Du Mazet Stakes · 6f 211y
#2
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
14%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-12 | Naas | 1 | 16th | 13th | +2 |
| 2025-09-06 | Ascot | 2 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2025-07-29 | Ripon | 5 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2025-06-27 | Newmarket | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-06-11 | Yarmouth | 5 | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2025-05-31 | Chester | 4 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -7.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 56% | -0.18 |
| 31/05/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 44% | +0.18 |
| 11/06/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 89% | +0.36 |
| 27/06/2025 | 2nd | 16/5 | 83% | 80% | -0.03 |
| 29/07/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 06/09/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 12/10/2025 | 16th | 7/2 | 82% | 6% | -0.75 |