5
Ironico
4yo Gelding · 8-11
La Teste De Buch · Prix Du Haras Du Mazet Stakes · 6f 211y
#9
Rank
Odds
13/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.4 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.8
Today: 3
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Deauville | 1 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2025-11-26 | Deauville | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-10-27 | Chantilly | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-07-06 | Deauville | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2024-09-16 | Chantilly | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength67%
Delivery trend +4.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07/2024 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 20/08/2024 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 86% | -0.01 |
| 16/09/2024 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 06/07/2025 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 53% | +0.01 |
| 27/10/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 26/11/2025 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 22/08/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 10/09/2026 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |