Pumalin Park
6yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 77
La Teste De Buch · Prix Du Haras Du Mazet Stakes · 6f 211y
#4
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 | Chantilly | 1 | 15th | 13th | +2 |
| 2026-05-25 | Compiegne | 2 | 12th | 11th | +1 |
| 2026-04-30 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-04-16 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-03-26 | Chantilly | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-12 | Chantilly | 2 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/11/2025 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 77% | -0.07 |
| 09/12/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 20/02/2026 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 27% | -0.31 |
| 12/03/2026 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |
| 26/03/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 80% | +0.27 |
| 16/04/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 79% | +0.79 |
| 30/04/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 53% | +0.01 |
| 25/05/2026 | 12th | 18/1 | 5% | 21% | +0.16 |
| 14/06/2026 | 15th | 40/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |