1
Talentuoso
5yo Gelding · 9-6
La Teste De Buch · Prix Du Haras Du Mazet Stakes · 6f 211y
#8
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength54%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 3
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-07 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-04-30 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-03-26 | Chantilly | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-12 | Chantilly | 2 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +2.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/12/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 93% | +0.17 |
| 09/01/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 30/01/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 87% | +0.10 |
| 12/02/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 89% | +0.10 |
| 26/03/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 87% | +0.24 |
| 30/04/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 24/05/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 87% | +0.87 |
| 07/06/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 79% | +0.26 |
| 10/09/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 64% | +0.12 |