1
Break Dance
3yo Filly · 9-12
La Teste De Buch · Prix Haras De La Commanderie Handicap · 6f 211y
#5
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
9%
Place Prob
12%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | Deauville | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Le Mans | 2 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-08 | Chantilly | 1 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-28 | Deauville | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-23 | Deauville | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength17%
Delivery trend -4.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 33% | -0.35 |
| 28/11/2025 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 08/03/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 21/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 71% | +0.19 |
| 06/08/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 17% | -0.31 |