3

Reve Du Fraisse

3yo Colt · 9-6

La Teste De Buch · Prix Haras De La Commanderie Handicap · 6f 211y

#2

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

24%

Place Prob

20%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength2%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.2)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Toulouse 16/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 5f212y Sft 12816/11C5C5 @ Pau 26/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Std 128C5 @ Pau 23/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Std 12823/01C5C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 21/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 6f101y Std 132C0 @ Chantilly 30/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 12330/03C?C5 @ Marseille-borely 27/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 1m99y Sft 1253 @ ParisLongchamp 21/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 1m1f152y Sft 12821/0533 @ Clairefontaine 06/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 7f209y GS 128C0 @ Dax 23/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 6f211y Ver 13423/08C?projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-23Dax?2nd2nd0
2026-07-06Clairefontaine33rd3rd0
2026-05-21ParisLongchamp32nd2nd0
2026-04-27Marseille-borely?2nd2nd0
2026-03-30Chantilly?7th7th0
2026-02-21Cagnes-sur-Mer?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/1121/0221/0523/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength89%

Delivery trend +1.3% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/11/20253rd11/486%80%-0.06
26/12/20252nd5/493%88%-0.06
23/01/20261st1/699%100%+0.01
21/02/20262nd6/594%91%-0.03
30/03/20267th7/163%57%-0.06
27/04/20262nd10/382%80%-0.02
21/05/20262nd9/488%83%-0.05
06/07/20263rd6/168%82%+0.13
23/08/20262nd9/488%90%+0.02