9
Severac
3yo Gelding · 8-10
La Teste De Buch · Prix Haras De La Commanderie Handicap · 6f 211y
#9
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 6.7)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Salon-De-Provence | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Compiegne | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Compiegne | 2 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Lyon-Parilly | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-27 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-01-05 | Marseille | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 7-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend +0.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 43% | -0.31 |
| 08/12/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 21/12/2025 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 05/01/2026 | 8th | 1/1 | 95% | 13% | -0.82 |
| 27/01/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 18/04/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 13/05/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 63% | -0.03 |
| 28/05/2026 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 36% | -0.40 |
| 14/09/2026 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |