6

Society Princesse

3yo Filly · 9-4

La Teste De Buch · Prix Haras De La Commanderie Handicap · 6f 211y

#1

Rank

Odds

11/1

Win Prob

29%

Place Prob

22%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Deauville 03/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 7f100y Gd 1283/08C5C5 @ Chantilly 25/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 7f209y Hvy 12825/09C5C1 @ Deauville 20/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 7f209y Std 12320/10C1C5 @ Saint-Cloud 17/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 17 · OR - · 7f209y GS 12817/04C5C5 @ Compiegne 20/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 12820/06C5C5 @ Mont De Marsan 17/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 7f209y GS 12417/08C5C0 @ La Teste De Buch 05/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 7f209y Gd 1345/09C?projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05La Teste De Buch?3rd3rd0
2026-08-17Mont De Marsan?1st1st0
2026-06-20Compiegne?8th8th0
2026-04-17Saint-Cloud?8th8th0
2025-10-20Deauville?7th7th0
2025-09-25Chantilly?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0817/045/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength52%

Delivery trend -2.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/08/20253rd20/10%80%+0.80
25/09/20258th11/271%30%-0.41
20/10/20257th33/10%0%0.00
17/04/20268th33/10%56%+0.56
20/06/20268th28/10%30%+0.30
17/08/20261st3/184%100%+0.16
05/09/20263rd9/276%82%+0.06