8
The Black Stone
3yo Gelding · 8-13
La Teste De Buch · Prix Haras De La Commanderie Handicap · 6f 211y
#7
Rank
Odds
13/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Tarbes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-23 | Dax | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Craon | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Dax | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 5-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength21%
Delivery trend -4.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 10/03/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 01/04/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 22/04/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 38% | +0.12 |
| 18/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 91% | +0.49 |
| 04/06/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 77% | +0.01 |
| 11/07/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 13% | -0.24 |
| 23/08/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 40% | -0.13 |
| 29/08/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 89% | +0.07 |