IvyArcIvyArc
13

Bella Josephine

3yo Filly · 8-7

La Teste De Buch · Prix Du Haras Des Faunes · 5f 102y

#13

Rank

Odds

40/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 9.3 /10 (raw 8.8)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.1
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.1
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Marseille-borely 18/06/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 5f212y GS 12318/06C5C5 @ Vichy 15/07/2025 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR - · 6f211y Hvy 128C5 @ Vichy 30/07/2025 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 7f209y GS 12430/07C5C5 @ Vichy 13/08/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 120C5 @ Moulins 25/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 4f213y Sft 12025/08C5C8 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 14/10/2025 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 7f209y GS 128C5 @ Mont De Marsan 23/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 5f212y GS 12423/03C5C0 @ Dax 18/05/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 1124 @ Tarbes 03/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 5f102y Sft 1223/074projClass-projected finish: 14th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-03Tarbes48th8th0
2026-05-18Dax?12th12th0
2026-03-23Mont De Marsan?8th9th−1
2025-10-14Bordeaux Le Bouscat?10th15th−4
2025-08-25Moulins?3rd4th−1
2025-08-13Vichy?8th9th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0613/0823/033/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 148% of fieldRange 8-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength17%

Delivery trend +0.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/06/20257th16/116%14%-0.02
15/07/202513th25/10%8%+0.08
30/07/202510th16/116%18%+0.02
13/08/20258th80/10%0%0.00
25/08/20253rd66/10%67%+0.67
14/10/202510th16/116%25%+0.09
23/03/20268th33/10%30%+0.30
18/05/202612th25/10%0%0.00
03/07/20268th22/10%0%0.00